A New Graphical Microburst Guidance Product

Abstract

A new microburst graphical guidance product has been developed that employs data from the Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) model. Prototypical conditions for microbursts include a steep temperature lapse rate and decreasing humidity with decreasing height in the boundary layer. Thus, the graphical guidance product incorporates boundary layer temperature lapse rate and vertical relative humidity difference, important factors in initiating and sustaining a convective downdraft. The new guidance product demonstrated effectiveness in indicating favorable conditions for downbursts during the 2009 convective season.