Adaptive confidence sets in L2

Abstract

The problem of constructing confidence sets that are adaptive in L2-loss over a continuous scale of Sobolev classes of probability densities is considered. Adaptation holds, where possible, with respect to both the radius of the Sobolev ball and its smoothness degree, and over maximal parameter spaces for which adaptation is possible. Two key regimes of parameter constellations are identified: one where full adaptation is possible, and one where adaptation requires critical regions be removed. Techniques used to derive these results include a general nonparametric minimax test for infinite-dimensional null- and alternative hypotheses, and new lower bounds for L2-adaptive confidence sets.

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