On statistical researches of parliament elections in Russian Federation, 04.12.2011

Abstract

There is a lot of statistical researches of Russian elections 04.12.2011. The purpose of this activity is to give a mathematical proof of large falsifications and to estimate possible 'real results of elections'. My purpose is to show that 1. Statistical argumentation allows to prove existence of falsifications and to give a lower estimate of falsification, near 1-2 percents. 2. Statistical proofs of stronger statements are incorrect from both points of view of mathematics and of natural sciences. 3. This problem is not a problem of pure mathematics (since it includes strong indeterminacy of sociological nature).