Emergence of condensation in Kingman's model of selection and mutation

Abstract

We describe the onset of condensation in the simple model for the balance between selection and mutation given by Kingman in terms of a scaling limit theorem. Loosely speaking, this shows that the wave moving towards genes of maximal fitness has the shape of a gamma distribution. We conjecture that this wave shape is a universal phenomenon that can also be found in a variety of more complex models, well beyond the genetics context, and provide some further evidence for this.