Concentration rate and consistency of the posterior under monotonicity constraints
Abstract
In this paper, we consider the well known problem of estimating a density function under qualitative assumptions. More precisely, we estimate monotone non increasing densities in a Bayesian setting and derive concentration rate for the posterior distribution for a Dirichlet process and finite mixture prior. We prove that the posterior distribution based on both priors concentrates at the rate (n/(n))-1/3, which is the minimax rate of estimation up to a (n)$ factor. We also study the behaviour of the posterior for the point-wise loss at any fixed point of the support the density and for the sup norm. We prove that the posterior is consistent for both losses.
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