Correlation of paths between distinct vertices in a randomly oriented graph

Abstract

We prove that in a random tournament the events $\{s\rightarrow a\}$ and $\{t\rightarrow b\}$ are positively correlated, for distinct vertices $a,s,b,t \in K_n.$ It is also proven that the correlation between the events $\{s\rightarrow a\}$ and $\{t\rightarrow b\}$ in the random graphs $G(n,p)$ and $G(n,m)$ with random orientation is positive for every fixed $p>0$ and sufficiently large $n$ (with $m=\left\lfloor p \binom{n}{2}\right\rfloor$). We conjecture it to be positive for all $p$ and all $n$. An exact recursion for $\P(\{s\rightarrow a\} \cap \{t\rightarrow b\})$ in $\gnp$ is given.