Simultaneous event detection rates by electromagnetic and gravitational wave detectors in the Advanced Era of LIGO and Virgo

Abstract

We present several estimates of the rate of simultaneous detection of the merging of a binary system of neutron stars in the electromagnetic and the gravitational wave domains, assuming that they produce short GRBs. We have based our estimations on a carefully selected sample of short gamma-ray bursts, corrected from redshift effects. The results presented in this paper are based on actual observation only. In the electromagnetic spectrum, we considered observations by current (Swift and Fermi}) and future (LOFT and SVOM) missions. In the gravitational wave domain, we consider detections by the Advanced Virgo instrument alone and the network of both Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo. We discuss on the possible biases present in our sample, and how to fix them. For present missions, assuming a detection in the following years, we find that we should observe simultaneously between 0.11 and 4.2 gravitational wave events per year with Swift} and Fermi} respectively. For future projects (LOFT and SVOM) we can expect less than one common detection per year. We check the consistency of our results with several previously published rate of detection of gravitational waves.