Non-Cooperativity in Bayesian Social Learning

Abstract

We describe a Bayesian model for social learning of a random variable in which agents might observe each other over a directed network. The outcomes produced are compared to those from a model in which observations occur randomly over a complete graph. In both cases we observe a nontrivial level of observation which maximizes learning, though individuals have strong incentive to defect from the societal optimum. The implications of such competition over information commons are discussed.