Critical Behaviour of the Partner Model

Abstract

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread incorporating monogamous partnership dynamics. In previous work a basic reproduction number R0 is defined with the property that if R0<1 the infection dies out within O( N) units of time, while if R0>1 the infection survives for at least eγ N units of time, for some γ>0. Here we consider the critical case R0=1 and show that the infection dies out within O(N) units of time, and moreover that this estimate is sharp.

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