Monitoring and Prediction in Smart Energy Systems via Multi-timescale Nexting

Abstract

Reliable prediction of system status is a highly demanded functionality of smart energy systems, which can enable users or human operators to react quickly to potential future system changes. By adopting the multi-timescale nexting method, we develop an architecture of human-in-the-loop energy control system, which is capable of casting short-term predictive information about the specific smart energy system. The developed architecture does either require a system model nor additional acquisition of (sensor) data in the existing system configuration. Our first experiments demonstrate the performance of the proposed control architecture in an electrical heating system simulation. In the second experiment, we verify the effectiveness of our developed structure in simulating a heating system in a thermal model of a building, by employing natural EnergyPlus temperature data.