Modeling the Spread of Multiple Contagions on Multilayer Networks

Abstract

A susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model of multiple contagions on multilayer networks is developed to incorporate different spreading channels and disease mutations. The basic reproduction number for this model is estimated analytically. In a special case when considering only compartmental models, we analytically analyze an example of a model with a mutation driven strain persistence characterized by the absence of an epidemic threshold. This model is not related to the network topology and can be observed in both compartmental models and models on networks. The novel multiple-contagion SIS model on a multilayer network could help in the understanding of other spreading phenomena including communicable diseases, cultural characteristics, addictions, or information spread through e-mail messages, web blogs, and computer networks.