Evidence Against Evidence Theory (?!)
Abstract
This paper is concerned with the apparent greatest weakness of the Mathematical Theory of Evidence (MTE) of Shafer Shafer:76, which has been strongly criticized by Wasserman Wasserman:92ijar - the relationship to frequencies. Weaknesses of various proposals of probabilistic interpretation of MTE belief functions are demonstrated. A new frequency-based interpretation is presented overcoming various drawbacks of earlier interpretations.
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