The Borel-Cantelli Lemmas for contaminated events, and small maxima
Abstract
For a sequence of independent events En the sum of the associated zero-one random variables 1En is almost surely finite or almost surely infinite according as the sum of the probabilities converges or diverges. In this paper the events En are contaminated. What can one say about Σ1Dn when Dn=En An for a sequence of events An with vanishing probability? The behaviour depends on the relation between the events En and An and on the size of the events. We prove a Borel-Cantelli lemma for the contaminated variables and give an application in extreme value theory.
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