A general version of Price's theorem
Abstract
Assume that X ∈ Rn is a centered random vector following a multivariate normal distribution with positive definite covariance matrix . Let g : Rn C be measurable and of moderate growth, say |g(x)| (1 + |x|)N. We show that the map E[g(X)] is smooth, and we derive convenient expressions for its partial derivatives, in terms of certain expectations E[(∂αg)(X)] of partial (distributional) derivatives of g. As we discuss, this result can be used to derive bounds for the expectation E[g(X)] of a nonlinear function g(X) of a Gaussian random vector X with possibly correlated entries. For the case when g(x) = g1(x1) ·s gn(xn) has tensor-product structure, the above result is known in the engineering literature as Price's theorem, originally published in 1958. For dimension n = 2, it was generalized in 1964 by McMahon to the general case g : R2 C. Our contribution is to unify these results, and to give a mathematically fully rigorous proof. Precisely, we consider a normally distributed random vector X ∈ Rn of arbitrary dimension n ∈ N, and we allow the nonlinearity g to be a general tempered distribution. To this end, we replace the expectation E[g(X)] by the dual pairing g,\,φ_S',S, where φ denotes the probability density function of X.
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