A Stage-wise Decision Framework for Transportation Network Resilience Planning

Abstract

This study introduces a comprehensive stage-wise decision framework to support resilience planning for roadway networks regarding pre-disaster mitigation (Stage I), post-disaster emergency response (Stage II) and long-term recovery (Stage III). Three decision metrics are first defined, each based on a derivation of the number of independent pathways (IPW) within a roadway system, to measure the performance of a network in term of its robustness, redundancy, and recoverability, respectively. Using the three IPW-based decision metrics, a stage-wise decision process is then formulated as a stochastic multi-objective optimization problem, which includes a project ranking mechanism to identify pre-disaster network retrofit projects in Phase I, a prioritization approach for temporary repairs to facilitate immediate post-disaster emergency responses in Phase II, and a methodology for scheduling network-wide repairs during the long-term recovery of the roadway system in Phase III. Finally, this stage-wise decision framework is applied to the roadway network of Shelby County, TN, USA subjected to seismic hazards, to illustrate its implementation in supporting community network resilience planning.