Poisson limit for the number of cycles in a random permutation and the number of segregating sites

Abstract

Consider a random permutation of \1, …, nt2\ drawn according to the Ewens measure with parameter t1 and let K(n, t) denote the number of its cycles, where t (t1, t2)∈ [0, 1]2. Next, consider a sample drawn from a large, neutral population of haploid individuals subject to mutation under the infinitely many sites model of Kimura whose genealogy is governed by Kingman's coalescent. Let S(n, t) count the number of segregating sites in a sample of size nt2 when mutations arrive at rate t1/2. We show that K(n, (t1/ n, t2))-1 and S(n, (t1/ n, t2)) induce unique random measures nK and nS, respectively, on the positive quadrant [0, ∞)2. Our main result is to show that in the coupling of S(n, t) and K(n, t) introduced in~Pitters2019 we have weak convergence as n∞ align* (nK, nS)d (, ), align* where is a Poisson point process on [0, ∞)2 of unit intensity. This complements the work in~Pitters2019 where it was shown that the process \(K(n, t), S(n, t)), t∈ [0, 1]2\, appropriately rescaled, converges weakly to the product of the same one-dimensional Brownian sheet.

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