FX Market Volatility
Abstract
This paper aims at solving FX market volatility modeling problem and finding the most becoming approach to this task. Validity of two competing approaches, classical econometric generalized conditional heteroscedasticity and mathematical (singular spectrum analysis and dynamical systems stability analysis) are tested on major currency pairs (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD) and unique high-frequency USD/RUB data. The study shows that both mathematical tools, understudied in econometric discourse, have a great potential in scope of discussed problematic, as for all experiments covered in this research, both of them show promising results.
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