Continuous indetermination and average likelihood minimization

Abstract

The authors transpose a discrete notion of indetermination coupling in the case of continuous probabilities. They show that this coupling, expressed on densities, cannot be captured by a specific copula which acts on cumulative distribution functions without a high dependence on the margins. Furthermore, they define a notion of average likelihood which extends the discrete notion of couple matchings and demonstrate it is minimal under indetermination. Eventually, they leverage this property to build up a statistical test to distinguish indetermination and estimate its efficiency using the Bahadur's slope.