An Ensemble Forecasting Technique for Photovoltaic Power Generation

Abstract

To cater the rapidly growing demand for electricity leading to the integration of renewable energy sources in power system. Due to intermittent nature of renewables, it also brings challenges for research community during the planning and operation stage in power system. Therefore it is primary necessity of the community to develop an accurate forecasting technique to solve the intermittency problem. In this report, A forecasting technique is proposed based on ensemble of state of the art forecasting techniques. For performance comparison among the techniques, GEFCom2014 meteorological data are used to predict the photovoltaic power, and the obtained results are included in this report.