An Epidemiological Model for contact tracing with the Dutch CoronaMelder App

Abstract

We present an epidemiological model for the effectiveness of CoronaMelder, the Dutch digital contact tracing app developed on top of the Google/Apple Exposure Notification framework. We compare the effectiveness of CoronaMelder with manual contract tracing on a number of metrics. CoronaMelder turns out to have a small but noticeable positive influence in slowing down the COVID-19 pandemic, an effect that will become more pronounced in an opened-up society where adoption of CoronaMelder is increased.