The Expected Depth of Random Real Algebraic Plane Curves

Abstract

In this note we study asymptotic isotopy of random real algebraic plane curves. More precisely, we obtain a Kac-Rice type formula that gives the expected number of two-sided components (i.e.\ ovals) of a random real algebraic plane curve winding around a given point. In particular, we show that expected number of such ovals for an even degree Kostlan polynomial is $\frac{\sqrt{d}}{2}$ and independent of the given point.