Features selection in NBA outcome prediction through Deep Learning

Abstract

This manuscript is focused on features' definition for the outcome prediction of matches of NBA basketball championship. It is shown how models based on one a single feature (Elo rating or the relative victory frequency) have a quality of fit better than models using box-score predictors (e.g. the Four Factors). Features have been ex ante calculated for a dataset containing data of 16 NBA regular seasons, paying particular attention to home court factor. Models have been produced via Deep Learning, using cross validation.