Predictability of warm and cold winters: Assessment of El Ni\~no effects in the North Eurasian regions

Abstract

Frequency of warm and cold winters in the North Eurasian regions is analyzed from long-term data, depending on El Nino phenomena of different types. Frequencies of extremely warm and extremely cold winters for North Eurasian regions in different phases of El Ni\~no phenomena are compared. Potential predictability of anomalous winters in the El Ni\~no, La Ni\~na and neutral phases is estimated.

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