Logical coherence in Bayesian simultaneous three-way hypothesis tests
Abstract
This paper studies whether Bayesian simultaneous three-way hypothesis tests can be logically coherent. Two types of results are obtained. First, under the standard error-wise constant loss, only for a limited set of models can a Bayes simultaneous test be logically coherent. Second, if more general loss functions are used, then it is possible to obtain Bayes simultaneous tests that are always logically coherent. An explicit example of such a loss function is provided.
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