Variation of Chaotic Behaviour of Wind Speed Oscillations Across Indian Subcontinent

Abstract

Modelling the intermittency of wind speed has got significant relevance on many fields, including wind power generation and distribution. Most of the available modelling techniques assume the temporal fluctuations in the wind is stochastic in nature and the underlying dynamics is best described by statistical methods or the probabilistic distribution. The advent of chaos theory have changed the perception about irregular fluctuations of dynamic systems and it has demonstrated that random-like fluctuations can also arise from deterministic chaotic systems. In this paper, we have analysed the deterministic nature of apparent random fluctuations seen in the daily average wind speed with the help of nonlinear time series analysis tools utilising wind speed data measured at nine typical locations over the Indian subcontinent from 2005 to 2015. The values of significant chaotic quantifiers obtained from the analysis clearly show the deterministic, low-dimensional and chaotic nature of wind speed dynamics in all these locations.