Forecasting Multilinear Data via Transform-Based Tensor Autoregression

Abstract

In the era of big data, there is an increasing demand for new methods for analyzing and forecasting 2-dimensional data. The current research aims to accomplish these goals through the combination of time-series modeling and multilinear algebraic systems. We expand previous autoregressive techniques to forecast multilinear data, aptly named the L-Transform Tensor autoregressive (L-TAR for short). Tensor decompositions and multilinear tensor products have allowed for this approach to be a feasible method of forecasting. We achieve statistical independence between the columns of the observations through invertible discrete linear transforms, enabling a divide and conquer approach. We present an experimental validation of the proposed methods on datasets containing image collections, video sequences, sea surface temperature measurements, stock prices, and networks.