A Robust Decision Making Framework for Optimal Strategy Selection in Warfare under Model Uncertainty

Abstract

In this paper is presented a framework for treating uncertainty in optimal decision problems occuring in combat situations, in order to robustly select the optimal strategy. A stochastic version of the popular Lanchester's aimed-fire model is considered as the underlying combat system describing the combet dynamics, and upon this an optimal decision rule for allocating forces is constructed. This approach results to a very extendable optimal decision framework, where the optimal strategy is chosen by simultaneously treating robustly uncertainty regarding critical combat parameters.