Friction Laws and Numerical Modeling of the Seismic Cycle

Abstract

Earthquakes rank among the most destructive manifestations of the Earth's dynamics. Can they be predicted? This is often the first question students ask. To answer that right away: no, at present it is not possible to anticipate the date, site and magnitude of future seismic events. However, there does exist a general framework to describe observations related to earthquakes and understand the processes that lead to their occurrence: the seismic cycle. This chapter introduces the reader to the friction laws from a historical to state of the art perspective. It then deals with mechanical modelling of the seismic cycle through simple analog models and finally presents some open questions and directions for future research.