The Relationship between Consumption and Economic Growth of Chinese Urban and Rural Residents since Reform and Opening-up -- An Empirical Analysis Based on Econometrics Models

Abstract

Since Reform and Opening-up 40 years ago, China has made remarkable achievements in economic fields. And consumption activities, including household consumption, have played an important role in it. Consumer activity is the end of economic activity, because the ultimate aim of other economic activities is to meet consumer demand; consumer activity is the starting point of economic activity, because consumption can drive economic and social development. This paper selects the economic data of more than 40 years since Reform and Opening-up, and establishes the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model and Vector Error Correction (VEC) model, analyzing the influence of consumption level and total consumption of urban and rural residents on economic growth. The conclusion is that the increase of urban consumption and rural consumption can lead to the increase of GDP, and in the long run, urban consumption can promote economic growth more than rural consumption. According to this conclusion, we analyze the reasons and puts forward some policy suggestions.