On High-Dimensional Asymptotic Properties of Model Averaging Estimators

Abstract

When multiple models are considered in regression problems, the model averaging method can be used to weigh and integrate the models. In the present study, we examined how the goodness-of-prediction of the estimator depends on the dimensionality of explanatory variables when using a generalization of the model averaging method in a linear model. We specifically considered the case of high-dimensional explanatory variables, with multiple linear models deployed for subsets of these variables. Consequently, we derived the optimal weights that yield the best predictions. we also observe that the double-descent phenomenon occurs in the model averaging estimator. Furthermore, we obtained theoretical results by adapting methods such as the random forest to linear regression models. Finally, we conducted a practical verification through numerical experiments.