Is there a universal parametric city size distribution? Empirical evidence for 70 countries

Abstract

We study the parametric description of the city size distribution (CSD) of 70 different countries (developed and developing) using seven models, as follows: the lognormal (LN), the loglogistic (LL), the double Pareto lognormal (dPLN), the two-lognormal (2LN), the two-loglogistic (2LL), the three-lognormal (3LN) and the three-loglogistic (3LL). Our results show that 3LN and 3LL are the best densities in terms of non-rejections out of standard statistical tests. Meanwhile, according to the information criteria AIC and BIC, there is no systematically dominant distribution.