Ignoring Time Dependence in Software Engineering Data. A Mistake

Abstract

Researchers often delve into the connections between different factors derived from the historical data of software projects. For example, scholars have devoted their endeavors to the exploration of associations among these factors. However, a significant portion of these studies has failed to consider the limitations posed by the temporal interdependencies among these variables and the potential risks associated with the use of statistical methods ill-suited for analyzing data with temporal connections. Our goal is to highlight the consequences of neglecting time dependence during data analysis in current research. We pinpointed out certain potential problems that arise when disregarding the temporal aspect in the data, and support our argument with both theoretical and real examples.