How curved is a random complex curve?

Abstract

In this paper, we study the curvature properties of random complex plane curves. We bound from below the probability that a uniform proportion of the area of a random complex degree $d$ plane curve has a curvature smaller than $-d/8$. Our lower bound is uniform, in the sense that it does not depend on $d$. We also provide uniform upper bounds for similar probabilities. These results extend to random complex curves of projective surfaces equipped with an ample line bundle. This paper can be viewed as a sequel of [1], where other metric statistics were given. On a larger time scale, it joins the general program initiated in [11] of understanding random complex hypersurfaces of projective manifolds.