A multi-agent model of hierarchical decision dynamics

Abstract

Decision making can be difficult when there are many actors (or agents) who may be coordinating or competing to achieve their various ideas of the optimum outcome. Here I present a simple decision making model with an explicitly hierarchical binary-tree structure, and evaluate how this might cooperate to take actions that match its various evaluations of the uncertain state of the world. Key features of agent behaviour are (a) the separation of its decision making process into three distinct steps: observation, judgement, and action; and (b) the evolution of coordination by the sharing of judgements.