Causal Responder Detection

Abstract

We introduce the causal responders detection (CARD), a novel method for responder analysis that identifies treated subjects who significantly respond to a treatment. Leveraging recent advances in conformal prediction, CARD employs machine learning techniques to accurately identify responders while controlling the false discovery rate in finite sample sizes. Additionally, we incorporate a propensity score adjustment to mitigate bias arising from non-random treatment allocation, enhancing the robustness of our method in observational settings. Simulation studies demonstrate that CARD effectively detects responders with high power in diverse scenarios.