Limit Profile for the Bernoulli--Laplace Urn

Abstract

We analyse the convergence to equilibrium of the Bernoulli--Laplace urn model: initially, one urn contains k red balls and a second n-k blue balls; in each step, a pair of balls is chosen uniform and their locations are switched. Cutoff is known to occur at 12 n \k, n\ with window order n whenever 1 k 12 n. We refine this by determining the limit profile: a function such that \[ dTV( 12 n \k, n\ + θ n ) (θ) n ∞ all θ ∈ R. \] Our main technical contribution, of independent interest, approximates a rescaled chain by a diffusion on R when k n, and uses its explicit law as a Gaussian process.

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