BI-RADS prediction of mammographic masses using uncertainty information extracted from a Bayesian Deep Learning model

Abstract

The BIRADS score is a probabilistic reporting tool used by radiologists to express the level of uncertainty in predicting breast cancer based on some morphological features in mammography images. There is a significant variability in describing masses which sometimes leads to BIRADS misclassification. Using a BIRADS prediction system is required to support the final radiologist decisions. In this study, the uncertainty information extracted by a Bayesian deep learning model is utilized to predict the BIRADS score. The investigation results based on the pathology information demonstrate that the f1-scores of the predictions of the radiologist are 42.86%, 48.33% and 48.28%, meanwhile, the f1-scores of the model performance are 73.33%, 59.60% and 59.26% in the BIRADS 2, 3 and 5 dataset samples, respectively. Also, the model can distinguish malignant from benign samples in the BIRADS 0 category of the used dataset with an accuracy of 75.86% and correctly identify all malignant samples as BIRADS 5. The Grad-CAM visualization shows the model pays attention to the morphological features of the lesions. Therefore, this study shows the uncertainty-aware Bayesian Deep Learning model can report his uncertainty about the malignancy of a lesion based on morphological features, like a radiologist.

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