Characterisation of distributions via record-like observations

Abstract

We characterise probability distributions via a martingale property associated with a natural generalisation of record values, known as δ-records. For an independent and identically distributed sequence (Xn) with running maximum Mn, let Nn be the number of δ-records (those Xk with Xk>Mk-1+δ). We determine distributions for which Nn-cMn is a martingale, and show that this property uniquely determines the underlying distribution within broad classes. We show that the problem can be reformulated in terms of a delay-integrated Cauchy functional equation. A distinctive feature of this equation is that it is required to hold on a set that depends on the unknown distribution itself, which both complicates the analysis and allows for a rich variety of solutions. A complete characterisation is obtained when δ<0. For δ>0, all solutions with bounded support are identified. In the case of δ>0 and unbounded support, we consider both continuous and lattice distributions. In the continuous case, the characterisation reduces to a delay differential equation, which admits classical exponential-type solutions as well as broader families, including mixtures of exponential and gamma distributions. An analogous discrete analysis leads to difference equations whose solutions include mixtures of geometric and negative binomial distributions. In particular, this yields a new characterisation of the geometric distribution based on weak records.

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