Mixer-Informer-Based Two-Stage Transfer Learning for Long-Sequence Load Forecasting in Newly Constructed Electric Vehicle Charging Stations

Abstract

The rapid rise in electric vehicle (EV) adoption demands precise charging station load forecasting, challenged by long-sequence temporal dependencies and limited data in new facilities. This study proposes MIK-TST, a novel two-stage transfer learning framework integrating Mixer, Informer, and Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN). The Mixer fuses multi-source features, Informer captures long-range dependencies via ProbSparse attention, and KAN enhances nonlinear modeling with learnable activation functions. Pre-trained on extensive data and fine-tuned on limited target data, MIK-TST achieves 4% and 8% reductions in MAE and MSE, respectively, outperforming baselines on a dataset of 26 charging stations in Boulder, USA. This scalable solution enhances smart grid efficiency and supports sustainable EV infrastructure expansion.