Superfluid Angular Momentum Reservoir Effect in Pulsar Glitches and Crab Pulsar Glitch Time Prediction

Abstract

Pulsar glitches are usually regarded as stochastic, independent events triggered by sudden angular momentum transfer from the neutron star's superfluid interior to its crust. However, dense glitching episodes in the Crab pulsar suggest that some temporally proximate small glitches may instead form parts of broader dynamical episodes. Here we reanalyse more than five decades of Crab timing data by grouping nearby glitches into glitch clusters. In this clustered sequence, adjacent waiting times are consistent with preferred temporal organization around $\sim 3.5$ yr, and every-other cluster intervals indicate a longer-timescale component near $\sim 7$ yr. Cluster size correlates more strongly with preceding than with subsequent waiting times, with the clearest signal arising from the longer pre-history of the system. These results suggest that clustering primarily regularizes the temporal structure of the Crab glitch record and support a picture in which Crab glitches are better interpreted as temporally coupled, history-dependent collective events rather than as fully independent stochastic occurrences.