Reducing parametric uncertainties through information geometry methods

Abstract

Information geometry is a study of applying differential geometry methods to challenging statistical problems, such as uncertainty quantification. In this work, we use information geometry to study how measurement uncertainties in pre-neutron emission mass distributions affect the parameter estimation in the Hauser-Feshbach fission fragment decay code, CGMF. We quantify the impact of reduced uncertainties on the pre-neutron mass yield of specific masses to these parameters, for spontaneous fission of ${}^{252}$Cf, first using a toy model assuming Poissonian uncertainties, then an experimental measurement taken from G\"o\"ok et al., 2014 in EXFOR. We achieved a reduction of up to $\sim15\%$ in CGMF parameter errors, predominantly in $w_0^{(1)}$ and $w_1^{(0)}$.