Quantum Annealing for Realistic Traffic Flow Optimization: Clustering and Data-Driven QUBO

Abstract

This article presents a scalable, data-driven formulation of city-wide Traffic Flow Optimization as a Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization problem and evaluates its performance using quantum annealing and classical solvers on realistic urban networks. The framework builds a time-resolved congestion model from simulated mobility data by sampling vehicle trajectories at fixed intervals, identifying leader-follower interactions on shared road segments. In addition to congestion, the model incorporates route-duration penalties and an analytically derived penalty parameter that enforces one-hot route selection, ensuring feasible assignments while balancing network-wide congestion reduction and individual travel times. To mitigate the combinatorial growth of interactions in large-scale instances, the approach employs Leiden clustering to partition vehicles into dense communities that can be optimized independently. The resulting subproblems are solved using D-Wave's quantum annealer, exact mixed-integer programming via Gurobi, and several classical metaheuristics, and are evaluated on multiple city maps with up to 25,000 vehicles. Across large scenarios, the hybrid quantum annealing approach consistently produces feasible solutions within approximately 1% of Gurobi's objective values, while maintaining stable runtimes. Both methods outperform shortest-route baselines, achieving reductions in the proposed congestion-cost objective of up to 24.4% for the hybrid quantum approach and 29.4% for Gurobi. Finally, the study highlights the critical role of the underlying city map, showing that network structure directly influences interaction density, problem formulation, and the efficiency of embedding and solving on current quantum annealing hardware.