Nonparametric inference for spot volatility in pure-jump semimartingales

Abstract

We provide a comprehensive analysis of spot volatility inference in pure-jump semimartingales under two asymptotic settings: fixed-k, where each local window uses a fixed number of observations, and large-k, where this number grows with sampling frequency. For both active- and possibly inactive-jump settings, we derive generally nonstandard, typically non-Gaussian limit distributions and establish valid inference, including when the jump-activity index is consistently estimated. Simulations show that fixed-k asymptotics offer markedly better finite-sample accuracy, underscoring their practical advantage for nonparametric spot volatility inference.

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