Stochastic Trajectory Influence Functions for LQR: Joint Sensitivity Through Dynamics and Noise Covariance

Abstract

Model-based controllers learned from data have the biases and noise of their training trajectories, making it important to know which trajectories help or hurt closed-loop performance. Influence functions, widely used in machine learning for data attribution, approximate this effect through first-order parameter-shift surrogates, avoiding costly retraining. Applying them to stochastic LQR, however, is nontrivial because the cost depends on the learned dynamics through the Riccati equation, and the process-noise covariance is estimated from the same residuals. We develop a three-level influence hierarchy that accounts for both channels.