On the Density of Coprime Reductions of Elliptic Curves

Abstract

Given non-CM elliptic curves $E_1$ and $E_2$ over $\mathbb{Q}$, we study the natural density of primes $p$ of good reduction for which the orders of the groups $E_1(\mathbb{F}_p)$ and $E_2(\mathbb{F}_p)$ are coprime. This problem may be viewed as an elliptic curve analogue of the classical question concerning the density of coprime integer pairs. Motivated by Zywina's refinement of the Koblitz conjecture, we formulate a conjecture for the density of such primes. We prove that the series defining this constant converges and admits an almost Euler product expansion. In the case of Serre pairs, we give a closed formula for the constant and use it to prove a moments result describing the distribution of these constants as $(E_1, E_2)$ varies.