The Very Late Time Afterglow of GW170817 Favors a Wobbling Jet

Abstract

GW170817 remains the only binary neutron star merger detected through multimessenger emission. Its afterglow has been monitored for nearly a decade, offering an unprecedented opportunity to probe the properties of the outflow. The shallow decay of the very late-time afterglow challenges the prediction of a collimated structured jet. Motivated by recent general-relativistic magnetohydrodynamic simulations, we propose that the GW170817 afterglow is powered by a wobbling jet that drags a ring on the sky. This structure predicts a post-break decay rate shallower than that of a collimated jet, as observers will see a progressively longer emitting arc after the break. A misaligned ring-shaped jet can therefore self-consistently explain the multimessenger data without invoking any extra component. Through a Bayesian analysis of the multimessenger data, we find a ring-shaped jet is favored over a collimated jet at a significance level of 4.8$σ$. Our results imply a wobbling angle of $\sim 27^\circ$. Such a large angle points to a significant disk tilt, potentially arising from disk-infalling gas interaction or asymmetric angular momentum ejection. Similar shallow decays have also been found in other GRB afterglows, raising the possibility that wobbling jets are common among GRBs.