Metadata Predictability Is Not Evidence Dependence: An Intervention-Based Audit for Weak-Label Benchmarks

Abstract

We study a protocol-level test for weak-label benchmarks: whether benchmark outputs change when the provided evidence is intervened on. Metadata-only shortcut checks answer a different question, namely whether outputs are predictable from metadata priors. We therefore combine a metadata statistic, the Metadata Prior Dominance Score (MPDS), with an evidence-intervention statistic, ΔEvi, measuring sensitivity to evidence identity under cross-item shuffling. Synthetic HotpotQA gives a constructed counterexample to metadata-only screening: MPDS is only moderate (0.643), yet ΔEvi is zero. Stronger-reader reruns show why calibration belongs in the test procedure: SNLI shows a calibration reversal, reconstructed HotpotQA occupies a question-dominant warning region, and FEVER is a strongly evidence-sensitive positive control across four transformers. The practical lesson is simple: benchmark audits should report metadata-only screening, evidence intervention, and reader-strength calibration together.