Benchmarking Quantum Annealing for a Greenhouse-Inspired Control QUBO

Abstract

We benchmark current annealing-based optimization workflows on a greenhouse-inspired quadratic unconstrained binary optimization problem for binary heater scheduling, where the horizon H denotes the number of hourly control decisions. For the main one-day instance (H=24), all solver outputs are decoded back into heater schedules and evaluated in the original greenhouse simulator using the same physical objective and feasibility criterion. Classical simulated annealing and path-integral simulated quantum annealing produce feasible near-optimal solutions in all repetitions, with best objectives close to the exact optimum. In contrast, the tested D-Wave Leap Hybrid BQM workflow is less reliable and does not outperform the classical baselines under 15--60~s requested time limits. Direct D-Wave QPU execution on reduced instances remains feasible in all runs and recovers the exact optimum for H=10 and H=12, but the exact-hit rate drops from 5/10 to 2/10 and then to 0/10 at H=14, with substantially higher variance than the classical baselines. The results do not indicate quantum advantage, but provide a reproducible, physically decoded benchmark that exposes the current strengths and limitations of classical, hybrid, and direct quantum annealing workflows on structured control QUBOs.