Joint Multi-Period Fermi-LAT and LHAASO Constraints on Axion-Like Particles from Mrk 421 Using Profile Likelihood with Gaussian Copula Correlation

Abstract

We propose a joint multi-epoch profile-likelihood analysis of axion-like particles (ALPs) using five sets of simultaneous Fermi-LAT and LHAASO observations of the TeV blazar Mrk 421. Photon-ALP oscillations are calculated self-consistently together with EBL absorption for two representative jet emission models: a two-zone hybrid model and a single-zone hadronic model. To account for weak correlations among different observational epochs, we introduce a Gaussian copula with a conservative correlation coefficient $ρ= 0.03$ and perform a global optimization of nuisance parameters under the no-ALP hypothesis before profiling the ALP parameters. In the low-mass regime relevant to CAST ($m_a \lesssim 1$ neV), we obtain a 95\% CL upper limit of $g_{aγ} = 7.46 \times 10^{-13}\,\mathrm{GeV}^{-1}$. Over the full mass range $0.1$--$500$ neV, the most conservative 95\% CL upper limits are $g_{aγ} < 6.50 \times 10^{-12}\,\mathrm{GeV}^{-1}$ (two-zone) and $g_{aγ} < 7.34 \times 10^{-12}\,\mathrm{GeV}^{-1}$ (single-zone). These constraints benefit from the broadband VHE coverage and long-term monitoring provided by LHAASO. The analysis framework developed here offers a statistically consistent approach for future ALP searches with multi-messenger gamma-ray data.