Neutrino monitoring of explosions for excluding fission yield

Abstract

Nuclear fission produces neutrinos, so the absence of a neutrino signal can be used to set a limit on the fission content of an explosion. This capability could be employed on former nuclear test sites to assure regulators, international monitors, or other observers that activities involving chemical explosions do not exceed a designated limit for nuclear fission. This paper quantifies the neutrino detector masses that would be required to set fission yield limits at source-to-detector distances up to 100 km, assuming detection by inverse beta decay with realistic background levels. The analysis indicates that detectors with active mass in the ton- to tens-of-kiloton range can set potentially useful limits on the fission yield of large chemical explosions at the Nevada National Security Site. In contrast, inverse beta decay detectors are not well suited to excluding fission yield at longer range or in the subcritical nuclear experiments that have occurred at some test sites following the cessation of explosive nuclear testing.